Warrnambool CityPopulation forecast
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Warrnambool (South East - Hopkins)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in Warrnambool (South East - Hopkins) is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Warrnambool City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Warrnambool (South East - Hopkins) - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)2436.22765.73446.1+101
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)3288.34128.54838.6+155
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)2305.93457.13916.9+161
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)2235.74809.957010.1+348
Young workforce (25 to 34)45811.653611.066211.7+204
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)61315.696920.01,17320.8+560
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)43511.04589.462111.0+187
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)47512.14058.34357.7-39
Seniors (70 to 84)63916.261712.759110.5-48
Elderly aged (85 and over)2957.53537.33656.5+70
Total persons3,938100.04,852100.05,636100.0+1,698

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 365 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2036: 591 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2036: 435 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2036: 621 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2036: 1,173 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2036: 662 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2036: 570 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2036: 391 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2036: 483 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 344 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 353 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026: 617 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026: 405 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026: 458 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026: 969 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026: 536 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026: 480 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026: 345 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026: 412 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 276 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 295 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016: 639 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016: 475 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016: 435 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016: 613 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016: 458 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016: 223 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016: 230 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016: 328 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 243
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 12 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026 to 2036: -27 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026 to 2036: 30 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026 to 2036: 164 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026 to 2036: 204 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026 to 2036: 126 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026 to 2036: 91 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026 to 2036: 46 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026 to 2036: 71 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 68 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 58 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016 to 2026: -21 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016 to 2026: -69 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016 to 2026: 23 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016 to 2026: 356 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016 to 2026: 78 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016 to 2026: 257 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016 to 2026: 115 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016 to 2026: 84 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 34
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In Warrnambool (South East - Hopkins) between 2016 and 2026, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to increase by 232 (29.0%), and will comprise 21.3% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to decrease by 34 (2.4%) and comprise 28.3% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2026 is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)', with a total of 969 persons.

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