Warrnambool CityPopulation forecast
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Warrnambool (South East - Hopkins)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Warrnambool (South East - Hopkins) indicate a 26.1% increase in population under working age, a 0.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 34.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Warrnambool City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Warrnambool (South East - Hopkins) - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42436.22765.73446.1+101
5 to 92476.32916.03456.1+98
10 to 141975.02996.23406.0+143
15 to 191704.33166.53636.4+193
20 to 241684.33316.83977.0+229
25 to 292305.82645.43265.8+96
30 to 342285.82725.63366.0+108
35 to 391995.13387.03876.9+188
40 to 442195.63437.13997.1+180
45 to 491954.92895.93876.9+192
50 to 542075.32515.23446.1+137
55 to 592285.82074.32784.9+50
60 to 642426.22004.12384.2-4
65 to 692325.92054.21973.5-35
70 to 742416.11944.01783.2-63
75 to 791975.02024.21993.5+2
80 to 842005.12214.52143.8+13
85 and over2957.53537.33656.5+70
Total persons3,938100.04,852100.05,636100.0+1,698

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 365 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 214 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 199 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 178 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 197 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 238 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 278 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 344 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 387 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 399 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 387 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 336 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 326 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 397 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 363 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 340 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 345 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 344 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 353 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 221 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 202 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 194 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 205 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 200 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 207 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 251 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 289 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 343 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 338 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 272 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 264 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 331 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 316 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 299 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 291 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 276 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 295 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 200 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 197 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 241 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 232 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 242 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 228 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 207 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 195 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 219 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 199 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 228 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 230 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 168 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 170 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 197 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 247 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 243
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 12 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: -7 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: -4 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: -16 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: -8 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 39 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 71 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 93 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 98 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 57 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 49 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 64 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 62 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 67 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 47 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 40 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 54 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 68 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 58 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 20 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 5 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: -47 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: -27 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: -43 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -21 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 44 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 94 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 124 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 138 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 44 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 34 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 163 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 147 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 103 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 44 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 34
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Warrnambool (South East - Hopkins) was ages 85 and over, which accounted for 7.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24, which is expected to increase by 163 and account for 6.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 85 and over years, with a total of 353 persons.

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