Warrnambool CityPopulation forecast
Skip to content

Warrnambool (North)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in Warrnambool (North) is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Warrnambool City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Warrnambool (North) - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)1244.81816.71836.5+59
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)2027.82659.828610.1+85
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)1786.92037.52378.4+59
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)27510.61796.62047.2-71
Young workforce (25 to 34)30711.929510.92729.6-35
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)39915.450518.753318.9+134
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)35813.929310.932011.3-38
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)34213.235613.231311.1-30
Seniors (70 to 84)31512.234112.638313.6+69
Elderly aged (85 and over)853.3853.2913.2+6
Total persons2,585100.02,703100.02,823100.0+238

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 91 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2036: 383 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2036: 313 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2036: 320 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2036: 533 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2036: 272 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2036: 204 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2036: 237 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2036: 286 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 183 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 85 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026: 341 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026: 356 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026: 293 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026: 505 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026: 295 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026: 179 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026: 203 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026: 265 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 181 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 85 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016: 315 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016: 342 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016: 358 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016: 399 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016: 307 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016: 275 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016: 178 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016: 202 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 124
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 6 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026 to 2036: 43 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026 to 2036: -43 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026 to 2036: 27 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026 to 2036: 28 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026 to 2036: -22 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026 to 2036: 26 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026 to 2036: 33 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026 to 2036: 22 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 2 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 0 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016 to 2026: 26 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016 to 2026: 13 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016 to 2026: -65 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016 to 2026: 106 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016 to 2026: -13 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016 to 2026: -96 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016 to 2026: 25 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016 to 2026: 63 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 57
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In Warrnambool (North) between 2016 and 2026, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to increase by 145 (28.8%), and will comprise 24.0% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to increase by 40 (5.4%) and comprise 28.9% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2026 is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)', with a total of 505 persons.

v19.10.22-1.0.0