Warrnambool CityPopulation forecast
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Warrnambool (North)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Warrnambool (North) indicate a 36.7% increase in population under working age, a 5.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 4.1% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Warrnambool City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Warrnambool (North) - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41244.81816.71836.5+59
5 to 91465.71907.02027.2+56
10 to 141365.21846.82087.4+72
15 to 191877.21605.91826.5-5
20 to 241867.21134.21354.8-50
25 to 291596.21355.01294.6-30
30 to 341485.71595.91435.1-5
35 to 391184.61736.41696.0+51
40 to 441084.21786.61846.5+76
45 to 491736.71545.71806.4+7
50 to 541907.31294.81706.0-20
55 to 591686.51646.11505.3-18
60 to 641776.91836.81415.0-36
65 to 691656.41726.41726.1+7
70 to 741194.61605.91675.9+48
75 to 79923.61134.21254.4+33
80 to 841034.0672.5923.3-11
85 and over853.3853.2913.2+6
Total persons2,585100.02,703100.02,823100.0+238

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 91 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 92 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 125 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 167 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 172 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 141 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 150 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 170 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 180 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 184 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 169 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 143 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 129 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 135 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 182 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 208 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 202 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 183 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 85 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 67 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 113 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 160 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 172 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 183 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 164 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 129 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 154 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 178 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 173 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 159 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 135 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 113 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 160 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 184 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 190 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 181 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 85 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 103 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 92 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 119 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 165 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 177 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 168 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 190 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 173 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 108 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 118 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 148 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 159 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 186 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 187 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 136 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 146 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 124
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 6 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 25 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 12 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 7 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: -1 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: -42 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -14 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 41 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 26 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 6 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: -4 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: -16 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: -7 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 22 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 23 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 24 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 12 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 2 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 0 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: -36 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 21 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 41 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 7 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 6 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -4 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -61 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -19 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 70 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 55 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 11 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -24 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -72 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: -28 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 48 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 44 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 57
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Warrnambool (North) was ages 50 to 54, which accounted for 7.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 70 and account for 6.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 190 persons.

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