Warrnambool CityPopulation forecast
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Warrnambool (North of Merri)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in Warrnambool (North of Merri) is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Warrnambool City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Warrnambool (North of Merri) - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)576.21618.43218.3+263
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)10011.022611.846011.9+359
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)10611.51528.03268.4+220
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)768.21316.92576.6+181
Young workforce (25 to 34)657.125813.547812.4+414
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)16317.837619.782221.3+659
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)15316.722711.943311.2+280
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)12113.222111.640010.3+280
Seniors (70 to 84)626.71337.02857.4+224
Elderly aged (85 and over)141.5231.2852.2+71
Total persons917100.01,908100.03,867100.0+2,950

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 85 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2036: 285 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2036: 400 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2036: 433 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2036: 822 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2036: 478 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2036: 257 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2036: 326 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2036: 460 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 321 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 23 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026: 133 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026: 221 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026: 227 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026: 376 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026: 258 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026: 131 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026: 152 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026: 226 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 161 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 14 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016: 62 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016: 121 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016: 153 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016: 163 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016: 65 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016: 76 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016: 106 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016: 100 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 57
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 62 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026 to 2036: 152 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026 to 2036: 179 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026 to 2036: 206 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026 to 2036: 447 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026 to 2036: 220 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026 to 2036: 126 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026 to 2036: 174 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026 to 2036: 234 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 160 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 9 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016 to 2026: 72 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016 to 2026: 101 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016 to 2026: 74 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016 to 2026: 212 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016 to 2026: 194 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016 to 2026: 56 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016 to 2026: 46 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016 to 2026: 125 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 104
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In Warrnambool (North of Merri) between 2016 and 2026, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to increase by 276 (104.9%), and will comprise 28.2% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to increase by 180 (91.4%) and comprise 19.8% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2026 is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)', with a total of 376 persons.

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