Warrnambool CityPopulation forecast
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Warrnambool (North of Merri)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Warrnambool (North of Merri) indicate a 122.3% increase in population under working age, a 74.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 111.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Warrnambool City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Warrnambool (North of Merri) - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4576.21618.43218.3+263
5 to 9647.01618.43288.5+264
10 to 14909.81477.73118.0+221
15 to 19717.71035.42265.9+156
20 to 24586.3985.11774.6+119
25 to 29384.21125.92015.2+163
30 to 34262.91477.72777.2+251
35 to 39293.21487.82987.7+269
40 to 44778.41266.62787.2+201
45 to 49576.21025.32466.4+189
50 to 54839.11186.22205.7+137
55 to 59707.61095.72135.5+143
60 to 64505.41216.32145.5+165
65 to 69717.81005.31864.8+115
70 to 74262.8663.51523.9+126
75 to 79313.4502.6862.2+55
80 to 8450.5170.9481.2+43
85 and over141.5231.2852.2+71
Total persons917100.01,908100.03,867100.0+2,950

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 85 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 48 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 86 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 152 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 186 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 214 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 213 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 220 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 246 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 278 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 298 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 277 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 201 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 177 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 226 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 311 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 328 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 321 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 23 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 17 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 50 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 66 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 100 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 121 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 109 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 118 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 102 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 126 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 148 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 147 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 112 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 98 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 103 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 147 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 161 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 161 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 14 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 5 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 31 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 26 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 71 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 50 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 70 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 83 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 57 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 77 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 29 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 26 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 38 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 58 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 71 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 90 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 64 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 57
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 62 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 30 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 36 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 86 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 86 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 93 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 103 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 103 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 144 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 153 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 150 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 131 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 89 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 79 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 123 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 164 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 167 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 160 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 9 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 12 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 19 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 41 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 29 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 71 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 39 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 34 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 45 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 48 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 119 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 120 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 73 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 40 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 32 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 58 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 97 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 104
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Warrnambool (North of Merri) was ages 10 to 14, which accounted for 9.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34, which is expected to increase by 120 and account for 7.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 161 persons.

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