Warrnambool CityPopulation forecast
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Warrnambool (North East)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in Warrnambool (North East) is 'Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Warrnambool City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Warrnambool (North East) - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)3017.54788.05097.2+209
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)45211.366611.173210.4+281
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)3568.95178.65948.4+238
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)42310.64898.25898.4+166
Young workforce (25 to 34)50812.772312.177311.0+264
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)80120.01,11518.61,25717.9+456
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)44711.176812.888312.6+437
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)3819.55669.578411.2+403
Seniors (70 to 84)3097.75088.56759.6+365
Elderly aged (85 and over)350.91572.62303.3+195
Total persons4,013100.05,986100.07,027100.0+3,014

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 230 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2036: 675 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2036: 784 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2036: 883 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2036: 1,257 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2036: 773 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2036: 589 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2036: 594 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2036: 732 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 509 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 157 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026: 508 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026: 566 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026: 768 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026: 1,115 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026: 723 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026: 489 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026: 517 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026: 666 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 478 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 35 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016: 309 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016: 381 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016: 447 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016: 801 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016: 508 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016: 423 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016: 356 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016: 452 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 301
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 73 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026 to 2036: 167 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026 to 2036: 218 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026 to 2036: 115 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026 to 2036: 142 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026 to 2036: 49 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026 to 2036: 101 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026 to 2036: 77 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026 to 2036: 66 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 31 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 122 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016 to 2026: 198 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016 to 2026: 185 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016 to 2026: 321 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016 to 2026: 314 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016 to 2026: 215 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016 to 2026: 65 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016 to 2026: 161 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016 to 2026: 214 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 178
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In Warrnambool (North East) between 2016 and 2026, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to increase by 552 (49.8%), and will comprise 27.7% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to increase by 506 (69.8%) and comprise 20.6% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2026 is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)', with a total of 1,115 persons.

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