Warrnambool CityPopulation forecast
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Warrnambool (North East)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Warrnambool (North East) indicate a 52.6% increase in population under working age, a 70.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 43.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Warrnambool City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Warrnambool (North East) - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43017.54788.05097.2+209
5 to 93568.94878.15227.4+165
10 to 142656.64427.45147.3+249
15 to 193298.24146.94746.7+145
20 to 242827.03285.54065.8+125
25 to 292476.23535.93835.5+136
30 to 342616.53706.23905.5+129
35 to 392526.33786.34206.0+169
40 to 442887.23786.34185.9+129
45 to 492616.53586.04196.0+158
50 to 542476.23926.64446.3+197
55 to 592005.03766.34406.3+240
60 to 641964.93285.54256.1+230
65 to 691854.62384.03595.1+173
70 to 741594.01993.32944.2+136
75 to 79962.41622.72002.8+104
80 to 84551.41472.51802.6+126
85 and over350.91572.62303.3+195
Total persons4,013100.05,986100.07,027100.0+3,014

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 230 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 180 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 200 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 294 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 359 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 425 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 440 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 444 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 419 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 418 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 420 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 390 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 383 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 406 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 474 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 514 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 522 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 509 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 157 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 147 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 162 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 199 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 238 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 328 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 376 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 392 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 358 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 378 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 378 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 370 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 353 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 328 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 414 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 442 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 487 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 478 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 35 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 55 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 96 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 159 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 185 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 196 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 200 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 247 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 261 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 288 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 252 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 261 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 247 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 282 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 329 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 265 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 356 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 301
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 73 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 34 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 38 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 95 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 120 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 97 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 64 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 52 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 61 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 39 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 42 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 19 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 30 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 78 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 60 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 72 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 34 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 31 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 122 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 92 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 66 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 40 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 53 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 133 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 176 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 145 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 97 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 90 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 126 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 109 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 106 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 47 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 85 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 177 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 131 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 178
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Warrnambool (North East) was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 8.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 178 and account for 8.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 487 persons.

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