Warrnambool CityPopulation forecast
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Warrnambool (East - Racecourse)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in Warrnambool (East - Racecourse) is 'Seniors (70 to 84)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Warrnambool City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Warrnambool (East - Racecourse) - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)2627.12286.12365.9-26
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)3258.83188.43228.1-3
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)3228.72727.22817.0-41
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)40811.038110.13939.9-15
Young workforce (25 to 34)49913.552413.954513.7+46
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)65417.762116.564416.2-10
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)46712.646112.345911.5-8
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)3359.141711.142810.7+93
Seniors (70 to 84)3308.944511.856814.3+238
Elderly aged (85 and over)922.5952.51062.7+14
Total persons3,694100.03,763100.03,981100.0+287

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 106 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2036: 568 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2036: 428 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2036: 459 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2036: 644 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2036: 545 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2036: 393 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2036: 281 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2036: 322 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 236 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 95 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026: 445 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026: 417 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026: 461 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026: 621 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026: 524 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026: 381 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026: 272 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026: 318 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 228 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 92 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016: 330 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016: 335 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016: 467 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016: 654 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016: 499 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016: 408 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016: 322 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016: 325 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 262
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 11 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026 to 2036: 123 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026 to 2036: 10 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026 to 2036: -2 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026 to 2036: 23 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026 to 2036: 21 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026 to 2036: 12 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026 to 2036: 8 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026 to 2036: 4 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 7 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 3 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016 to 2026: 115 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016 to 2026: 82 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016 to 2026: -6 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016 to 2026: -33 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016 to 2026: 25 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016 to 2026: -27 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016 to 2026: -50 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016 to 2026: -7 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -34
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In Warrnambool (East - Racecourse) between 2016 and 2026, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to decrease by 91 (10.0%), and will comprise 21.7% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to increase by 200 (26.4%) and comprise 25.4% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2026 is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)', with a total of 621 persons.

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