Warrnambool CityPopulation forecast
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Warrnambool (Central)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in Warrnambool (Central) is 'Young workforce (25 to 34)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Warrnambool City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Warrnambool (Central) - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)1734.52415.92355.6+63
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)2025.32315.62425.7+40
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)2075.41884.62115.0+3
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)43211.34059.94009.5-31
Young workforce (25 to 34)52913.865515.963215.0+104
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)70718.566816.371517.0+9
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)51713.555713.651012.1-7
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)45111.853012.955013.0+99
Seniors (70 to 84)44711.753012.961114.5+164
Elderly aged (85 and over)1644.31012.51122.6-52
Total persons3,828100.04,107100.04,219100.0+391

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 112 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2036: 611 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2036: 550 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2036: 510 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2036: 715 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2036: 632 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2036: 400 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2036: 211 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2036: 242 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 235 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 101 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026: 530 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026: 530 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026: 557 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026: 668 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026: 655 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026: 405 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026: 188 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026: 231 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 241 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 164 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016: 447 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016: 451 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016: 517 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016: 707 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016: 529 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016: 432 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016: 207 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016: 202 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 173
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 11 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026 to 2036: 81 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026 to 2036: 20 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026 to 2036: -47 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026 to 2036: 47 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026 to 2036: -23 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026 to 2036: -5 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026 to 2036: 22 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026 to 2036: 11 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: -6 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: -63 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016 to 2026: 83 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016 to 2026: 79 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016 to 2026: 40 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016 to 2026: -38 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016 to 2026: 126 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016 to 2026: -27 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016 to 2026: -19 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016 to 2026: 29 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 68
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In Warrnambool (Central) between 2016 and 2026, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to increase by 78 (13.4%), and will comprise 16.1% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to increase by 99 (9.3%) and comprise 28.3% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2026 is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)', with a total of 668 persons.

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