Warrnambool CityPopulation forecast
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Warrnambool (Central)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Warrnambool (Central) indicate a 21.7% increase in population under working age, a 7.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 4.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Warrnambool City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Warrnambool (Central) - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41734.52415.92355.6+63
5 to 91403.71804.41804.3+40
10 to 141433.71343.31553.7+12
15 to 192396.22055.02205.2-19
20 to 243198.33067.52987.1-21
25 to 293288.63378.23227.6-6
30 to 342005.23187.73107.3+109
35 to 392346.12656.42636.2+29
40 to 442045.31874.52245.3+20
45 to 492687.02175.32285.4-40
50 to 542586.72496.12375.6-21
55 to 592596.83087.52736.5+14
60 to 642406.32776.72676.3+27
65 to 692115.52536.22836.7+72
70 to 741724.52215.42465.8+74
75 to 791413.71854.52145.1+73
80 to 841343.51233.01513.6+17
85 and over1644.31012.51122.6-52
Total persons3,828100.04,107100.04,219100.0+391

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 112 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 151 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 214 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 246 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 283 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 267 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 273 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 237 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 228 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 224 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 263 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 310 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 322 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 298 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 220 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 155 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 180 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 235 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 101 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 123 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 185 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 221 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 253 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 277 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 308 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 249 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 217 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 187 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 265 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 318 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 337 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 306 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 205 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 134 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 180 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 241 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 164 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 134 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 141 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 172 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 211 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 240 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 259 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 258 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 268 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 204 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 234 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 200 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 328 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 319 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 239 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 143 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 140 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 173
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 11 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 28 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 29 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 24 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 30 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: -9 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -34 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: -13 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 11 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 37 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: -2 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: -8 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: -14 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: -8 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 14 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 21 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 0 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: -6 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: -63 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: -11 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 44 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 49 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 42 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 36 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 49 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -9 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -51 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -17 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 31 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 118 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 8 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -13 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: -34 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: -10 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 40 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 68
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Warrnambool (Central) was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 8.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34, which is expected to increase by 118 and account for 7.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 337 persons.

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