Warrnambool CityPopulation forecast
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Warrnambool (Botanic)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in Warrnambool (Botanic) is 'Seniors (70 to 84)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Warrnambool City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Warrnambool (Botanic) - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)1384.91595.41645.3+25
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)2167.72237.62327.5+16
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)1967.02046.92267.3+30
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)2529.02368.02457.9-6
Young workforce (25 to 34)28010.02929.93029.7+22
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)53919.346515.848315.6-56
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)39214.038813.235811.6-34
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)36913.242914.643614.1+67
Seniors (70 to 84)32911.846215.754317.5+214
Elderly aged (85 and over)853.0852.91093.5+24
Total persons2,795100.02,943100.03,098100.0+302

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 109 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2036: 543 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2036: 436 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2036: 358 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2036: 483 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2036: 302 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2036: 245 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2036: 226 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2036: 232 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 164 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 85 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026: 462 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026: 429 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026: 388 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026: 465 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026: 292 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026: 236 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026: 204 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026: 223 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 159 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 85 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016: 329 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016: 369 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016: 392 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016: 539 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016: 280 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016: 252 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016: 196 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016: 216 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 138
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 24 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026 to 2036: 82 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026 to 2036: 7 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026 to 2036: -30 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026 to 2036: 18 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026 to 2036: 10 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026 to 2036: 9 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026 to 2036: 22 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026 to 2036: 9 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 5 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 0 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016 to 2026: 132 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016 to 2026: 60 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016 to 2026: -4 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016 to 2026: -73 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016 to 2026: 13 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016 to 2026: -15 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016 to 2026: 8 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016 to 2026: 7 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 21
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In Warrnambool (Botanic) between 2016 and 2026, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to increase by 36 (6.5%), and will comprise 19.9% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to increase by 193 (24.6%) and comprise 33.1% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2026 is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)', with a total of 465 persons.

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