Warrnambool CityPopulation forecast
Skip to content

Warrnambool (Botanic)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Warrnambool (Botanic) indicate a 7.1% increase in population under working age, a 24.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 2.0% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Warrnambool City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Warrnambool (Botanic) - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41384.91595.41645.3+25
5 to 91364.91595.41635.3+28
10 to 141756.31635.61795.8+4
15 to 191565.61715.81886.1+32
20 to 241967.01705.81725.6-24
25 to 291234.41404.81504.8+27
30 to 341575.61525.21524.9-5
35 to 391645.91505.11605.2-4
40 to 441425.11605.41675.4+25
45 to 492328.31555.31555.0-77
50 to 541736.21555.31665.4-8
55 to 592197.82347.91936.2-26
60 to 641736.22147.32086.7+35
65 to 691967.02147.32297.4+32
70 to 741194.31645.61966.3+77
75 to 791204.31826.22016.5+81
80 to 84903.21163.91464.7+56
85 and over853.0852.91093.5+24
Total persons2,795100.02,943100.03,098100.0+302

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 109 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 146 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 201 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 196 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 229 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 208 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 193 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 166 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 155 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 167 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 160 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 152 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 150 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 172 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 188 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 179 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 163 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 164 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 85 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 116 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 182 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 164 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 214 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 214 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 234 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 155 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 155 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 160 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 150 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 152 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 140 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 170 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 171 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 163 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 159 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 159 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 85 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 90 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 120 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 119 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 196 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 173 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 219 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 173 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 232 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 142 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 164 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 157 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 123 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 196 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 156 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 175 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 136 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 138
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 24 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 31 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 19 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 32 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 14 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: -7 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -41 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 11 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 0 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 7 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 10 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 0 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 10 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 2 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 18 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 15 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 4 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 5 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 0 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 25 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 63 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 44 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 18 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 41 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 14 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -19 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -77 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 18 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: -15 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -4 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 17 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -26 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 14 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: -11 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 23 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 21
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Warrnambool (Botanic) was ages 45 to 49, which accounted for 8.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 63 and account for 6.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 55 to 59 years, with a total of 234 persons.

v19.10.16-1.0.0