Warrnambool CityPopulation forecast
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Allansford - Rural East

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in Allansford - Rural East is 'Seniors (70 to 84)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Warrnambool City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Allansford - Rural East - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)887.0876.4946.3+6
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)1249.81319.61409.5+16
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)917.21077.81147.7+23
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)1128.9977.11127.60
Young workforce (25 to 34)13810.914910.915510.5+17
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)28422.528020.630220.5+18
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)20516.218413.518212.4-23
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)13810.918513.618112.3+43
Seniors (70 to 84)755.91319.617912.2+104
Elderly aged (85 and over)90.7110.8140.9+5
Total persons1,264100.01,363100.01,475100.0+211

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 14 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2036: 179 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2036: 181 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2036: 182 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2036: 302 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2036: 155 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2036: 112 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2036: 114 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2036: 140 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 94 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 11 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026: 131 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026: 185 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026: 184 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026: 280 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026: 149 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026: 97 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026: 107 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026: 131 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 87 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 9 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016: 75 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016: 138 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016: 205 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016: 284 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016: 138 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016: 112 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016: 91 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016: 124 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 88
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 3 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026 to 2036: 48 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026 to 2036: -4 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026 to 2036: -2 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026 to 2036: 22 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026 to 2036: 6 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026 to 2036: 16 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026 to 2036: 7 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026 to 2036: 9 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 6 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 2 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016 to 2026: 56 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016 to 2026: 47 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016 to 2026: -21 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016 to 2026: -4 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016 to 2026: 11 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016 to 2026: -15 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016 to 2026: 16 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016 to 2026: 7 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -1
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In Allansford - Rural East between 2016 and 2026, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to increase by 22 (7.3%), and will comprise 23.9% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to increase by 105 (47.3%) and comprise 24.0% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2026 is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)', with a total of 280 persons.

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