Warrnambool CityPopulation forecast
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Warrnambool (West)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in Warrnambool (West) is 'Seniors (70 to 84)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Warrnambool City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Warrnambool (West) - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)2856.03216.33286.2+42
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)3657.74649.14789.0+113
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)3567.54118.14398.3+83
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)49110.34779.353310.1+43
Young workforce (25 to 34)68114.362312.263312.0-47
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)80717.090017.691017.2+103
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)57212.052110.255710.5-15
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)55111.651110.04749.0-76
Seniors (70 to 84)51110.872814.375714.3+246
Elderly aged (85 and over)1272.71472.91883.6+61
Total persons4,744100.05,102100.05,297100.0+552

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 188 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2036: 757 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2036: 474 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2036: 557 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2036: 910 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2036: 633 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2036: 533 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2036: 439 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2036: 478 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 328 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 147 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026: 728 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026: 511 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026: 521 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026: 900 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026: 623 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026: 477 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026: 411 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026: 464 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 321 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 127 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016: 511 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016: 551 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016: 572 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016: 807 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016: 681 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016: 491 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016: 356 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016: 365 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 285
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 41 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026 to 2036: 29 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026 to 2036: -36 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026 to 2036: 36 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026 to 2036: 10 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026 to 2036: 10 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026 to 2036: 56 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026 to 2036: 28 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026 to 2036: 13 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 7 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 20 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016 to 2026: 217 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016 to 2026: -40 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016 to 2026: -51 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016 to 2026: 93 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016 to 2026: -58 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016 to 2026: -14 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016 to 2026: 55 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016 to 2026: 99 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 35
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In Warrnambool (West) between 2016 and 2026, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to increase by 190 (18.9%), and will comprise 23.4% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to increase by 197 (16.6%) and comprise 27.2% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2026 is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)', with a total of 900 persons.

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