Warrnambool CityPopulation forecast
Skip to content

Warrnambool (West)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Warrnambool (West) indicate a 22.0% increase in population under working age, a 27.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 2.3% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Warrnambool City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Warrnambool (West) - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42856.03216.33286.2+42
5 to 92866.03366.63386.4+53
10 to 142425.13356.63546.7+113
15 to 193317.03506.93797.1+48
20 to 243547.53326.53797.1+25
25 to 293888.23206.33316.2-57
30 to 342936.23035.93035.7+10
35 to 392785.93086.02985.6+20
40 to 442405.02925.73025.7+63
45 to 492896.13005.93095.8+20
50 to 542595.52545.02855.4+26
55 to 593126.62675.22725.1-40
60 to 642896.12374.62304.3-59
65 to 692615.52745.42444.6-17
70 to 742224.72745.42464.6+24
75 to 791703.62605.12775.2+108
80 to 841202.51953.82344.4+115
85 and over1272.71472.91883.6+61
Total persons4,744100.05,102100.05,297100.0+552

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 188 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 234 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 277 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 246 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 244 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 230 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 272 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 285 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 309 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 302 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 298 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 303 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 331 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 379 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 379 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 354 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 338 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 328 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 147 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 195 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 260 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 274 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 274 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 237 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 267 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 254 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 300 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 292 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 308 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 303 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 320 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 332 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 350 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 335 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 336 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 321 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 127 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 120 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 170 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 222 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 261 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 289 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 312 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 259 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 289 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 240 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 278 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 293 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 388 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 354 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 331 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 242 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 286 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 285
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 41 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 39 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 17 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: -28 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: -30 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: -7 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 5 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 31 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 10 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 11 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: -10 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 0 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 11 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 47 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 29 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 20 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 3 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 7 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 20 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 76 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 90 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 52 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 13 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: -52 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -46 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -5 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 10 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 52 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 31 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 10 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -68 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -22 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 19 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 93 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 50 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 35
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Warrnambool (West) was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 8.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14, which is expected to increase by 93 and account for 6.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 15 to 19 years, with a total of 350 persons.

v19.09.08-1.0.0