Warrnambool CityPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Warrnambool City

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Warrnambool City indicate a 25.2% increase in population under working age, a 29.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 12.3% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Warrnambool City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Warrnambool City - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 2,0856.12,6796.63,0536.6+968
5 to 9 2,1966.42,6966.73,0846.7+888
10 to 14 2,0806.12,5876.43,0636.6+983
15 to 19 2,2866.72,5796.42,9936.5+707
20 to 24 2,3556.92,5046.22,8796.2+524
25 to 29 2,3156.82,4266.02,6885.8+373
30 to 34 1,9845.82,4566.12,7245.9+740
35 to 39 1,9395.72,5226.32,8256.1+886
40 to 44 2,0696.02,4456.12,8496.2+779
45 to 49 2,2516.62,3615.92,8076.1+556
50 to 54 2,2076.42,3435.82,6875.8+480
55 to 59 2,1826.42,3825.92,5715.6+389
60 to 64 2,0325.92,2595.62,4545.3+422
65 to 69 1,8935.52,1475.32,3845.2+491
70 to 74 1,4514.21,9204.82,1764.7+725
75 to 79 1,0983.21,6604.11,9154.1+817
80 to 84 8572.51,1812.91,5213.3+663
85 and over9642.81,1752.91,5373.3+573
Total persons34,243100.040,323100.046,209100.0+11,966

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 1,537 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 1,521 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 1,915 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 2,176 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 2,384 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 2,454 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 2,571 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 2,687 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 2,807 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 2,849 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 2,825 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 2,724 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 2,688 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 2,879 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 2,993 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 3,063 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 3,084 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 3,053 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 1,175 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 1,181 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 1,660 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 1,920 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 2,147 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 2,259 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 2,382 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 2,343 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 2,361 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 2,445 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 2,522 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 2,456 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 2,426 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 2,504 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 2,579 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 2,587 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 2,696 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 2,679 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 964 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 857 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 1,098 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 1,451 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 1,893 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 2,032 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 2,182 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 2,207 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 2,251 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 2,069 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 1,939 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 1,984 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 2,315 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 2,355 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 2,286 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 2,080 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 2,196 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 2,085
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 362 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 340 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 255 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 256 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 237 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 195 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 189 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 343 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 445 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 403 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 303 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 268 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 262 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 375 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 414 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 476 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 388 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 374 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 211 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 324 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 561 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 469 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 254 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 227 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 201 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 137 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 110 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 376 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 583 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 473 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 111 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 149 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 293 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 507 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 500 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 595
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Warrnambool City was ages 20 to 24 , which accounted for 6.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4 , which is expected to increase by 595 and account for 6.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 2,696 persons.

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