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City of WannerooPopulation forecast

Mindarie - Tamala Park

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Mindarie - Tamala Park indicate a 36.5% increase in population under working age, a 14.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 20.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Wanneroo is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Mindarie - Tamala Park - Total persons202120312046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42933.65695.75525.6+259
5 to 93764.65225.35135.2+137
10 to 145606.95875.95435.6-17
15 to 197008.66977.05936.1-107
20 to 246327.87187.26166.3-16
25 to 292943.66766.86236.4+329
30 to 342282.86226.36146.3+386
35 to 393454.25845.95936.1+248
40 to 443894.86176.25615.7+172
45 to 497609.36526.65876.0-173
50 to 5487210.76506.56206.3-252
55 to 5981710.07427.56937.1-124
60 to 645176.37357.46626.8+145
65 to 693404.25155.24845.0+144
70 to 743284.03623.64454.5+117
75 to 792923.63153.24424.5+150
80 to 842252.82062.13123.2+87
85 and over1822.21601.63233.3+141
Total persons8,150100.09,929100.09,775100.0+1,625
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Mindarie - Tamala Park was ages 50 to 54, which accounted for 10.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34, which is expected to increase by 394 and account for 6.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 55 to 59 years, with a total of 742 persons.

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