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Wagga Wagga City CouncilPopulation forecast

Estella - University

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Estella - University indicate a 37.7% increase in females under working age, a 122.1% increase in females of retirement age, and a 42.8% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Wagga Wagga City Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Estella - University - Total females202120312046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42449.22826.93976.6+153
5 to 91686.32496.13666.1+198
10 to 141294.82145.33285.5+198
15 to 192459.22786.83956.6+150
20 to 2442515.949112.163010.5+205
25 to 292619.83338.24447.4+183
30 to 342419.02496.13766.3+135
35 to 391776.72786.84036.7+226
40 to 441064.02436.03636.1+258
45 to 49993.71573.92604.4+162
50 to 54652.41323.22554.3+190
55 to 59843.11674.12494.2+165
60 to 64562.11844.52353.9+179
65 to 69642.41764.32053.4+141
70 to 74552.11423.51883.1+133
75 to 79542.01132.82033.4+149
80 to 84782.91453.62303.9+152
85 and over1154.32375.84517.5+336
Total persons2,665100.04,071100.05,978100.0+3,313
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in Estella - University was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 15.9% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 137 and account for 6.0% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2031 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 491 females.

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