City of VincentPopulation forecast
Skip to content

Perth

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Perth indicate a 85.5% increase in population under working age, a 51.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 25.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Vincent is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Perth - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42714.73995.34144.6+143
5 to 91412.42793.72883.2+148
10 to 14500.91792.42302.6+180
15 to 191232.12363.13103.5+187
20 to 2458910.26929.18079.0+218
25 to 291,19720.81,02913.61,14512.8-52
30 to 341,03417.999113.11,07012.0+36
35 to 3962010.894512.594410.5+324
40 to 443626.378710.48089.0+446
45 to 492644.65757.67678.6+503
50 to 542734.73594.76387.1+365
55 to 592524.42813.74695.2+217
60 to 642083.62613.43183.6+110
65 to 691472.62263.02482.8+101
70 to 74791.41622.12012.2+122
75 to 79450.81041.41571.8+112
80 to 84350.6510.7941.1+59
85 and over731.3300.4410.5-32
Total persons5,764100.07,588100.08,951100.0+3,187

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 41 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 94 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 157 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 201 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 248 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 318 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 469 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 638 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 767 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 808 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 944 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 1,070 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 1,145 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 807 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 310 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 230 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 288 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 414 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 30 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 51 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 104 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 162 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 226 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 261 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 281 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 359 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 575 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 787 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 945 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 991 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 1,029 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 692 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 236 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 179 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 279 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 399 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 73 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 35 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 45 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 79 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 147 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 208 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 252 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 273 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 264 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 362 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 620 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 1,034 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 1,197 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 589 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 123 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 50 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 141 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 271
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 12 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 43 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 52 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 39 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 22 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 57 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 189 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 279 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 192 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 21 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: -1 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 79 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 116 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 115 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 73 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 51 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 10 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 14 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: -43 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 16 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 59 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 83 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 79 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 53 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 29 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 87 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 311 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 425 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 325 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -43 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -168 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 102 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 113 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 129 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 138 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 128
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Perth was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 20.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 425 and account for 10.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 1,029 persons.

v19.10.15-1.0.1