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City of VincentPopulation forecast

City of Vincent

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2018, the age structure forecasts for the City of Vincent indicate a 8.4% increase in females under working age, a 3.6% increase in females of retirement age, and a 5.8% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Vincent is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Vincent - Total females201620182028Change between 2016 and 2028
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 49555.41,0385.61,2655.6+310
5 to 97954.58364.51,0044.5+209
10 to 146303.67073.88403.7+210
15 to 196913.97994.31,0604.7+369
20 to 241,4628.31,5658.42,0118.9+549
25 to 292,47514.12,36412.72,57411.4+99
30 to 342,07311.82,33512.52,39910.6+326
35 to 391,5248.71,7049.12,1649.6+640
40 to 441,2447.11,2806.91,8408.2+596
45 to 491,0576.01,1556.21,4896.6+432
50 to 541,0475.91,0165.41,1885.3+141
55 to 599535.49895.31,0494.7+96
60 to 646783.97604.19214.1+243
65 to 696063.46263.48393.7+233
70 to 743311.94052.26412.8+310
75 to 793792.23261.74742.1+95
80 to 842651.53151.73321.5+67
85 and over4362.54182.24462.0+10
Total persons17,601100.018,639100.022,535100.0+4,934
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), September 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for females in the City of Vincent was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 14.1% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2016 and 2018 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34, which is expected to increase by 262 and account for 12.5% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2018 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 2,364 females.

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