City of VincentPopulation forecast
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City of Vincent

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in the City of Vincent is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Vincent is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
City of Vincent - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)2,0165.72,5845.82,8815.6+865
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)2,3216.52,6636.03,0305.9+709
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)1,4124.02,0924.72,3854.6+973
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)3,2929.24,86911.05,50210.6+2,210
Young workforce (25 to 34)9,30726.110,08022.711,54222.3+2,235
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)8,01822.510,97424.712,56024.3+4,543
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)4,05611.44,56710.35,76711.1+1,711
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)2,6717.53,4867.83,9037.5+1,232
Seniors (70 to 84)1,8605.22,5245.73,3856.5+1,525
Elderly aged (85 and over)6391.86021.47711.5+132
Total persons35,592100.044,443100.051,726100.0+16,134

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2017.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 771 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2036: 3,385 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2036: 3,903 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2036: 5,767 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2036: 12,560 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2036: 11,542 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2036: 5,502 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2036: 2,385 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2036: 3,030 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 2,881 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 602 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026: 2,524 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026: 3,486 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026: 4,567 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026: 10,974 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026: 10,080 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026: 4,869 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026: 2,092 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026: 2,663 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 2,584 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 639 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016: 1,860 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016: 2,671 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016: 4,056 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016: 8,018 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016: 9,307 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016: 3,292 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016: 1,412 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016: 2,321 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 2,016
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 169 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026 to 2036: 860 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026 to 2036: 417 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026 to 2036: 1,200 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026 to 2036: 1,586 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026 to 2036: 1,462 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026 to 2036: 633 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026 to 2036: 293 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026 to 2036: 367 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 297 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: -37 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016 to 2026: 664 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016 to 2026: 815 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016 to 2026: 511 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016 to 2026: 2,956 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016 to 2026: 773 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016 to 2026: 1,577 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016 to 2026: 680 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016 to 2026: 342 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 568
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2017.

Key findings

In the City of Vincent between 2016 and 2026, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to increase by 1,590 (27.7%), and will comprise 16.5% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to increase by 1,442 (27.9%) and comprise 14.9% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2026 is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)', with a total of 10,974 persons.

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