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Town of Victoria ParkPopulation forecast

Victoria Park

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Victoria Park indicate a 13.9% increase in population under working age, a 30.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 2.3% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Town of Victoria Park is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Victoria Park - Total persons202120262046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44995.25885.76825.7+183
5 to 94034.24974.85874.9+184
10 to 143453.63353.23833.2+37
15 to 193153.34084.04093.4+94
20 to 248829.18608.39197.7+37
25 to 291,11511.61,25012.11,38311.6+268
30 to 341,17912.21,12610.91,36611.5+187
35 to 391,04510.88558.31,0328.7-13
40 to 447447.77887.67996.7+55
45 to 495335.56326.17015.9+168
50 to 545285.55645.56595.5+131
55 to 595305.55064.95734.8+44
60 to 644144.34614.55104.3+97
65 to 694004.14814.74343.7+35
70 to 743383.54053.93953.3+58
75 to 791441.52972.93783.2+234
80 to 841181.21271.22942.5+176
85 and over1141.21411.43733.1+259
Total persons9,643100.010,322100.011,877100.0+2,234
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Victoria Park was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 12.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 153 and account for 2.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 1,250 persons.

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