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Town of Victoria ParkPopulation forecast

Town of Victoria Park

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Town of Victoria Park indicate a 8.6% increase in population under working age, a 10.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 8.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Town of Victoria Park is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Town of Victoria Park - Total persons202120262046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42,1325.62,3515.63,2005.3+1,068
5 to 91,7724.61,9584.72,6124.3+840
10 to 141,4413.81,4983.61,9543.2+513
15 to 191,5484.01,7714.22,2323.7+684
20 to 243,2248.43,1837.64,4207.3+1,196
25 to 294,05310.64,83711.66,89011.4+2,837
30 to 344,07610.74,34110.46,77411.2+2,698
35 to 393,4809.13,5718.65,3588.9+1,878
40 to 442,6707.03,1577.64,2327.0+1,562
45 to 492,3126.02,6436.33,7696.2+1,457
50 to 542,1505.62,2995.53,5085.8+1,358
55 to 592,0175.32,0154.83,0905.1+1,074
60 to 641,8004.71,8844.52,7994.6+999
65 to 691,4983.91,7884.32,3954.0+897
70 to 741,3513.51,4703.52,1433.5+792
75 to 799062.41,2002.91,9123.2+1,006
80 to 847121.97611.81,5082.5+795
85 and over1,1282.99572.31,6162.7+488
Total persons38,270100.041,683100.060,412100.0+22,142
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Town of Victoria Park was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 10.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 25 to 29, which is expected to increase by 784 and account for 11.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 4,837 persons.

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