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Town of Victoria ParkPopulation forecast

Town of Victoria Park

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Town of Victoria Park indicate a 13.6% increase in population under working age, a 35.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 11.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Town of Victoria Park is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Town of Victoria Park - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42,1695.92,4675.83,1225.4+953
5 to 91,5874.31,7714.22,1793.8+593
10 to 141,2013.31,3933.31,7433.0+542
15 to 191,6854.62,2645.43,1715.5+1,486
20 to 243,5139.63,8659.25,4479.5+1,934
25 to 294,49912.34,59510.96,15110.7+1,652
30 to 344,21811.54,50210.76,05410.5+1,836
35 to 392,9878.23,6838.74,8658.5+1,878
40 to 442,3576.42,9066.93,7956.6+1,438
45 to 492,1045.72,3575.63,3105.8+1,206
50 to 541,9905.42,1445.13,1295.4+1,139
55 to 591,8215.01,9334.62,7974.9+976
60 to 641,6214.41,6894.02,2243.9+603
65 to 691,3533.71,4843.51,8623.2+509
70 to 749452.61,3523.21,7753.1+830
75 to 797812.11,1562.71,6592.9+878
80 to 846581.89502.31,5952.8+937
85 and over1,1523.11,6814.02,5944.5+1,442
Total persons36,642100.042,193100.057,472100.0+20,831
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), May 2021.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Town of Victoria Park was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 12.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 696 and account for 8.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 4,595 persons.

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