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Tweed Shire CouncilPopulation forecast

North East Hinterland - Tumbulgum

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in North East Hinterland - Tumbulgum is forecast to grow from 1,369 in 2016 to 1,421 in 2041, with the average household size falling from 2.52 to 2.50 by 2041.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in North East Hinterland - Tumbulgum. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
North East Hinterland - TumbulgumForecast year
Summary201620212026203120362041
Population2,9363,0483,0983,1203,1403,166
Change in population (5yrs)--11250212026
Average annual change--0.75%0.33%0.14%0.13%0.17%
Households1,1651,2101,2421,2481,2591,269
Average household size2.522.522.492.502.492.50
Population in non private dwellings000000
Dwellings1,3691,3811,3911,4011,4111,421
Dwelling occupancy rate85.1087.6289.2989.0889.2389.30
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2020.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of North East Hinterland - Tumbulgum was estimated to be 2,936 people. It is expected to increase by over 184 people to 3,120 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 0.61%. This is based on an increase of over 83 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.52 to 2.50 by 2026.

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