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Tweed Shire CouncilPopulation forecast

Tweed Heads South - Banora Point

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Tweed Heads South - Banora Point indicate a 8.6% increase in population under working age, a 1.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 8.0% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Tweed Shire Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Tweed Heads South - Banora Point - Total persons202120312041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)1,1224.51,3065.01,2874.9+165
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)1,7627.11,8857.21,8957.2+133
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)1,6336.61,7056.51,7176.5+84
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)1,6686.81,8427.01,8176.9+149
Young workforce (25 to 34)2,3559.52,72510.42,69710.2+342
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)3,86015.74,39716.84,47117.0+611
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)2,82111.42,76610.62,85210.8+31
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)3,27213.33,37012.93,28712.5+15
Seniors (70 to 84)4,72319.24,69217.94,80418.2+81
Elderly aged (85 and over)1,4475.91,4535.61,5005.7+53
Total persons24,663100.026,141100.026,326100.0+1,663
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Tweed Heads South - Banora Point was ages Seniors (70 to 84), which accounted for 19.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which is expected to increase by 537 and account for 16.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is Seniors (70 to 84) years, with a total of 4,692 persons.

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