City of Tea Tree GullyPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Tea Tree Gully

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in City of Tea Tree Gully will increase by an average of 140 dwellings per annum to 43,361 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Tea Tree Gully. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2036
City of Tea Tree GullyChange in dwellings between 2016 and 2036
Areanumber%
City of Tea Tree Gully+2,803+6.9
Banksia Park - Upper Hermitage+80+5.7
Dernancourt+140+9.4
Fairview Park - Yatala Vale+104+6.7
Gilles Plains - Valley View+115+9.8
Golden Grove - Gould Creek+55+1.3
Greenwith - Salisbury Heights - Salisbury East+129+3.4
Highbury - Paracombe+172+6.6
Holden Hill+96+7.7
Hope Valley+268+7.6
Modbury+341+14.9
Modbury Heights - Para Hills+136+4.9
Modbury North+265+11.6
Redwood Park+172+8.1
Ridgehaven+195+10.5
St Agnes+195+11.0
Surrey Downs+93+6.7
Tea Tree Gully - Vista - Houghton+163+9.0
Wynn Vale+84+2.6

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 43,361 2035 Total dwellings: 43,227 2034 Total dwellings: 43,092 2033 Total dwellings: 42,960 2032 Total dwellings: 42,823 2031 Total dwellings: 42,685 2030 Total dwellings: 42,546 2029 Total dwellings: 42,408 2028 Total dwellings: 42,268 2027 Total dwellings: 42,119 2026 Total dwellings: 41,966 2025 Total dwellings: 41,818 2024 Total dwellings: 41,675 2023 Total dwellings: 41,533 2022 Total dwellings: 41,399 2021 Total dwellings: 41,269 2020 Total dwellings: 41,127 2019 Total dwellings: 40,975 2018 Total dwellings: 40,831 2017 Total dwellings: 40,700 2036 Total dwellings: 43,361 2035 Total dwellings: 43,227 2034 Total dwellings: 43,092 2033 Total dwellings: 42,960 2032 Total dwellings: 42,823 2031 Total dwellings: 42,685 2030 Total dwellings: 42,546 2029 Total dwellings: 42,408 2028 Total dwellings: 42,268 2027 Total dwellings: 42,119 2026 Total dwellings: 41,966 2025 Total dwellings: 41,818 2024 Total dwellings: 41,675 2023 Total dwellings: 41,533 2022 Total dwellings: 41,399 2021 Total dwellings: 41,269 2020 Total dwellings: 41,127 2019 Total dwellings: 40,975 2018 Total dwellings: 40,831 2017 Total dwellings: 40,700 2036 Forecast development: 134 2035 Forecast development: 135 2034 Forecast development: 132 2033 Forecast development: 137 2032 Forecast development: 138 2031 Forecast development: 139 2030 Forecast development: 138 2029 Forecast development: 140 2028 Forecast development: 149 2027 Forecast development: 153 2026 Forecast development: 148 2025 Forecast development: 143 2024 Forecast development: 142 2023 Forecast development: 134 2022 Forecast development: 130 2021 Forecast development: 142 2020 Forecast development: 152 2019 Forecast development: 144 2018 Forecast development: 131 2017 Forecast development: 142
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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