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Tamworth Regional CouncilPopulation forecast

Tamworth Regional Council

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Tamworth Regional Council indicate a 11.2% increase in population under working age, a 31.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 6.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Tamworth Regional Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Tamworth Regional Council - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44,2056.94,7356.95,3786.8+1,173
5 to 94,3377.14,8627.15,5307.0+1,193
10 to 144,2006.94,5756.75,3236.7+1,123
15 to 193,8866.44,0886.04,7296.0+843
20 to 243,4645.73,6915.44,1845.3+720
25 to 293,8886.43,7475.54,1885.3+300
30 to 343,7386.13,9555.84,4535.6+715
35 to 393,3755.54,2756.34,7666.0+1,390
40 to 443,6816.04,1336.14,7436.0+1,062
45 to 493,8066.23,8665.74,7025.9+896
50 to 543,8396.33,9315.84,5805.8+741
55 to 593,9506.53,9705.84,4885.6+538
60 to 643,6746.03,9675.84,2985.4+624
65 to 693,3555.53,8595.74,2285.3+873
70 to 742,6754.43,4415.04,0375.1+1,362
75 to 792,0963.42,9664.43,7434.7+1,647
80 to 841,3812.32,1233.13,0673.9+1,686
85 and over1,4522.41,9992.93,0333.8+1,581
Total persons61,003100.068,184100.079,468100.0+18,465
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Tamworth Regional Council was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 7.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 899 and account for 6.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 4,862 persons.

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