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Tamworth Regional CouncilPopulation forecast

Hillvue

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Hillvue indicate a 3.8% decrease in population under working age, a 11.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 7.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Tamworth Regional Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Hillvue - Total persons202120262041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43024.53605.14945.2+192
5 to 94526.83314.74905.1+38
10 to 145087.65237.46396.7+131
15 to 194296.54917.05926.2+162
20 to 243725.63625.14564.8+84
25 to 293695.64406.26116.4+242
30 to 343615.44085.86066.3+245
35 to 393284.93895.55776.0+250
40 to 443645.53975.66006.3+235
45 to 493875.83965.65705.9+182
50 to 544226.34025.75375.6+115
55 to 594626.94806.85946.2+132
60 to 644817.24917.06086.3+127
65 to 693885.84506.45435.7+155
70 to 744036.14015.75535.8+150
75 to 793044.63605.15055.3+201
80 to 842153.22333.33844.0+170
85 and over1011.51261.82212.3+120
Total persons6,650100.07,037100.09,580100.0+2,931
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Hillvue was ages 10 to 14, which accounted for 7.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 25 to 29, which is expected to increase by 70 and account for 6.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 10 to 14 years, with a total of 523 persons.

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