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Tamworth Regional CouncilPopulation forecast

South Tamworth

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for South Tamworth indicate a 7.6% increase in population under working age, a 7.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 1.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of South Tamworth is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
South Tamworth - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44757.14426.44266.1-49
5 to 93735.64426.44115.9+39
10 to 143915.84496.54085.9+17
15 to 193345.04336.24436.4+108
20 to 244897.34867.04857.0-4
25 to 295548.34266.14446.4-110
30 to 344526.74035.83825.5-70
35 to 393685.54146.03715.3+3
40 to 443595.44005.83645.2+5
45 to 493244.84005.83925.6+67
50 to 544386.53905.63965.7-43
55 to 593855.83605.24005.8+15
60 to 644086.14486.54065.8-2
65 to 693655.53955.74025.8+37
70 to 742553.83805.53745.4+119
75 to 793214.83104.53755.4+54
80 to 842193.31832.62683.9+49
85 and over1872.81812.62103.0+23
Total persons6,699100.06,939100.06,958100.0+259
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in South Tamworth was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 8.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74, which is expected to increase by 125 and account for 5.5% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 486 persons.

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