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Tamworth Regional CouncilPopulation forecast

Tamworth CBD - East Tamworth

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Tamworth CBD - East Tamworth indicate a 7.5% decrease in population under working age, a 52.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 12.1% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Tamworth CBD - East Tamworth is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Tamworth CBD - East Tamworth - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43275.83395.93685.8+41
5 to 93486.13295.83575.7+9
10 to 143576.32875.03315.3-26
15 to 193726.63245.73475.5-25
20 to 243065.43416.03585.7+52
25 to 293626.43245.73585.7-4
30 to 343466.12865.03355.3-11
35 to 392965.22995.23365.3+40
40 to 443446.12955.23295.2-15
45 to 494327.63005.23385.4-94
50 to 543345.93245.73325.3-2
55 to 593836.73566.23064.9-76
60 to 644027.12945.12974.7-105
65 to 693005.33506.13345.3+35
70 to 742835.03796.63896.2+106
75 to 792223.93215.63886.2+166
80 to 841202.12855.03866.1+266
85 and over1382.42835.04076.5+269
Total persons5,670100.05,716100.06,295100.0+625
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Tamworth CBD - East Tamworth was ages 45 to 49, which accounted for 7.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 80 to 84, which is expected to increase by 165 and account for 5.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 70 to 74 years, with a total of 379 persons.

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