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City of SwanPopulation forecast

Ellenbrook

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Ellenbrook is forecast to grow from 16,611 in 2021 to 26,466 in 2051, with the average household size falling from 2.93 to 2.64 by 2051.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in the City of Swan. The period 2021 to 2036, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
EllenbrookForecast year
Summary2021202620312036204120462051
Population48,07155,89463,47568,25469,40068,82668,346
Change in population (5yrs)--7,8237,5814,7791,145-574-480
Average annual change--3.06%2.58%1.46%0.33%-0.17%-0.14%
Households16,31619,56922,73824,86725,62525,72925,753
Average household size2.932.842.772.732.692.662.64
Population in non private dwellings287338389389389389389
Dwellings16,61120,01723,37125,55426,33426,44426,466
Dwelling occupancy rate98.2297.7697.2997.3197.3197.3097.31
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the total population of Ellenbrook was estimated to be 48,071 people. It is expected to increase by over 20,183 people to 68,254 by 2036, at an average annual growth rate of 2.36%. This is based on an increase of over 8,551 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.93 to 2.73 by 2036.

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