Sutherland Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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Barden Ridge - Lucas Heights

Population, households and dwellings

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Sutherland Shire. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Barden Ridge - Lucas HeightsForecast year
Summary20162021202620312036
Population4,4124,3744,7805,2245,498
Change in population (5yrs)---38406444274
Average annual change---0.17%1.79%1.79%1.03%
Households1,2351,2891,4461,6091,730
Average household size3.513.333.253.203.13
Population in non private dwellings7676767676
Dwellings1,2531,3111,4741,6411,765
Dwelling occupancy rate98.5698.3298.1098.0598.02

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2036 Average household size: 3.13 2035 Average household size: 3.15 2034 Average household size: 3.17 2033 Average household size: 3.19 2032 Average household size: 3.19 2031 Average household size: 3.20 2030 Average household size: 3.22 2029 Average household size: 3.21 2028 Average household size: 3.22 2027 Average household size: 3.24 2026 Average household size: 3.25 2025 Average household size: 3.27 2024 Average household size: 3.28 2023 Average household size: 3.29 2022 Average household size: 3.30 2021 Average household size: 3.33 2020 Average household size: 3.36 2019 Average household size: 3.40 2018 Average household size: 3.44 2017 Average household size: 3.49 2016 Average household size: 3.51 2036 Average household size: 3.13 2035 Average household size: 3.15 2034 Average household size: 3.17 2033 Average household size: 3.19 2032 Average household size: 3.19 2031 Average household size: 3.20 2030 Average household size: 3.22 2029 Average household size: 3.21 2028 Average household size: 3.22 2027 Average household size: 3.24 2026 Average household size: 3.25 2025 Average household size: 3.27 2024 Average household size: 3.28 2023 Average household size: 3.29 2022 Average household size: 3.30 2021 Average household size: 3.33 2020 Average household size: 3.36 2019 Average household size: 3.40 2018 Average household size: 3.44 2017 Average household size: 3.49 2036 Households: 1,730 2035 Households: 1,711 2034 Households: 1,692 2033 Households: 1,674 2032 Households: 1,641 2031 Households: 1,608 2030 Households: 1,576 2029 Households: 1,542 2028 Households: 1,510 2027 Households: 1,478 2026 Households: 1,446 2025 Households: 1,413 2024 Households: 1,367 2023 Households: 1,341 2022 Households: 1,315 2021 Households: 1,289 2020 Households: 1,263 2019 Households: 1,238 2018 Households: 1,236 2017 Households: 1,236 2016 Households: 1,235 2036 Total population: 5,498 2035 Total population: 5,463 2034 Total population: 5,433 2033 Total population: 5,409 2032 Total population: 5,320 2031 Total population: 5,224 2030 Total population: 5,143 2029 Total population: 5,035 2028 Total population: 4,944 2027 Total population: 4,862 2026 Total population: 4,780 2025 Total population: 4,692 2024 Total population: 4,557 2023 Total population: 4,484 2022 Total population: 4,423 2021 Total population: 4,374 2020 Total population: 4,316 2019 Total population: 4,284 2018 Total population: 4,330 2017 Total population: 4,390 2016 Total population: 4,412
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
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