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Sutherland Shire CouncilPopulation forecast

Sutherland Shire Council

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2025, the age structure forecasts for Sutherland Shire Council indicate a 1.4% increase in females under working age, a 5.0% increase in females of retirement age, and a 4.3% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Sutherland Shire Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Sutherland Shire Council - Total females202120252036Change between 2021 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 46,6425.76,9835.77,3755.6+733
5 to 96,9315.96,9645.77,4155.6+484
10 to 147,2346.27,1505.97,4315.6+197
15 to 196,7915.87,2475.97,2935.5+502
20 to 246,3325.46,7045.57,1285.4+796
25 to 296,3835.47,0025.77,5555.7+1,172
30 to 347,2616.27,6616.38,2416.2+980
35 to 397,9476.88,2266.78,7756.7+828
40 to 447,9126.78,4436.98,9466.8+1,034
45 to 498,4567.28,2946.89,0266.8+570
50 to 547,8416.78,4116.98,6186.5+777
55 to 597,4426.37,4366.18,0796.1+637
60 to 647,1416.17,2485.97,6375.8+496
65 to 696,1725.36,6555.56,9225.2+750
70 to 745,6134.85,7174.76,4454.9+832
75 to 794,3423.74,9634.15,7144.3+1,372
80 to 843,0072.63,3752.84,4253.4+1,418
85 and over3,9703.43,5542.94,8373.7+867
Total persons117,417100.0122,033100.0131,862100.0+14,446
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in Sutherland Shire Council was ages 45 to 49, which accounted for 7.2% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2025 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 621 and account for 4.1% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2025 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 8,443 females.

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