Sutherland Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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Sutherland Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in Sutherland Shire is 'Seniors (70 to 84)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Sutherland Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Sutherland Shire - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)14,6406.515,1896.115,8516.0+1,211
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)20,5889.121,9718.822,8518.6+2,263
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)16,4617.319,5837.820,2427.6+3,781
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)19,2918.522,7379.124,3599.2+5,068
Young workforce (25 to 34)28,51012.630,76612.333,19312.5+4,683
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)46,74820.747,92119.250,07818.8+3,330
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)29,97913.331,28312.531,74511.9+1,766
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)24,06510.626,54310.627,75810.4+3,693
Seniors (70 to 84)19,9098.826,80410.731,00111.7+11,092
Elderly aged (85 and over)5,8502.66,7922.78,9423.4+3,092
Total persons226,041100.0249,590100.0266,020100.0+39,979

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 8,942 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2036: 31,001 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2036: 27,758 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2036: 31,745 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2036: 50,078 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2036: 33,193 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2036: 24,359 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2036: 20,242 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2036: 22,851 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 15,851 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 6,792 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026: 26,804 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026: 26,543 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026: 31,283 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026: 47,921 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026: 30,766 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026: 22,737 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026: 19,583 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026: 21,971 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 15,189 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 5,850 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016: 19,909 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016: 24,065 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016: 29,979 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016: 46,748 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016: 28,510 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016: 19,291 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016: 16,461 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016: 20,588 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 14,640
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 2,149 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026 to 2036: 4,197 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026 to 2036: 1,215 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026 to 2036: 463 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026 to 2036: 2,157 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026 to 2036: 2,427 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026 to 2036: 1,621 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026 to 2036: 659 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026 to 2036: 880 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 662 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 943 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016 to 2026: 6,895 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016 to 2026: 2,478 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016 to 2026: 1,304 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016 to 2026: 1,173 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016 to 2026: 2,256 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016 to 2026: 3,446 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016 to 2026: 3,122 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016 to 2026: 1,383 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 549
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In Sutherland Shire between 2016 and 2026, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to increase by 5,054 (9.8%), and will comprise 22.7% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to increase by 10,315 (20.7%) and comprise 24.1% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2026 is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)', with a total of 47,921 persons.

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