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Surf Coast ShirePopulation forecast

Surf Coast Shire

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Surf Coast Shire is forecast for the period from 2032 to 2036, which is expected to have a net increase of 3,916 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Surf Coast ShireForecast period
Component2017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births1,9692,1222,3412,568
Change in persons in non-private dwellings221358560
Deaths1,0361,2571,5191,806
Natural increase/decrease934865821762
Net migration2,6302,8172,9473,095
Total population change3,7853,7173,8543,916
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), June 2018.

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