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Strathfield CouncilPopulation forecast

Homebush

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Homebush indicate a 8.6% increase in population under working age, a 31.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 34.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Strathfield Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Homebush - Total persons202120262036Change between 2021 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 47446.34222.74002.3-344
5 to 95835.08215.36663.9+83
10 to 143993.46324.16764.0+277
15 to 193813.28115.39525.6+570
20 to 241,18910.11,81411.81,86811.0+679
25 to 292,03717.42,67717.42,75016.1+713
30 to 342,05317.52,46216.02,60415.3+551
35 to 391,36711.61,75411.41,92511.3+558
40 to 446765.81,0506.81,2867.5+610
45 to 495064.36494.29385.5+432
50 to 543833.35223.47224.2+340
55 to 593713.24092.75553.3+184
60 to 643272.83762.54632.7+136
65 to 692822.43212.13742.2+92
70 to 741621.42371.52951.7+133
75 to 79970.81541.02351.4+138
80 to 84990.81040.71871.1+88
85 and over840.71360.91671.0+82
Total persons11,740100.015,351100.017,061100.0+5,320
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2022.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Homebush was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 17.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 25 to 29, which is expected to increase by 640 and account for 17.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 2,677 persons.

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