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City of StonningtonPopulation forecast

South Yarra

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for South Yarra indicate a 83.0% increase in population under working age, a 69.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 23.6% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of South Yarra is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
South Yarra - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 47473.31,2594.21,3133.9+566
5 to 94552.09043.09752.9+520
10 to 143821.77362.59042.7+522
15 to 197803.41,2004.01,3674.1+587
20 to 242,82812.52,7459.12,8418.5+13
25 to 294,62420.44,35214.54,40413.2-220
30 to 343,57315.84,29214.34,25712.7+684
35 to 391,9048.43,31711.03,3069.9+1,402
40 to 441,2465.52,3487.82,6838.0+1,437
45 to 491,1014.91,6135.42,2896.9+1,188
50 to 549894.41,2924.31,8985.7+909
55 to 599194.11,1683.91,4664.4+547
60 to 648233.68923.01,0703.2+247
65 to 697803.47622.59022.7+122
70 to 745272.37922.68642.6+337
75 to 794522.08482.88862.7+434
80 to 842991.36782.38762.6+577
85 and over2481.18332.81,0983.3+850
Total persons22,677100.030,031100.033,399100.0+10,722
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in South Yarra was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 20.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 1,413 and account for 11.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 4,352 persons.

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