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City of StonningtonPopulation forecast

Malvern East

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Malvern East indicate a 19.2% increase in population under working age, a 19.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 19.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Stonnington is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Malvern East - Total persons202120262036Change between 2021 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,0684.71,4425.31,4775.0+410
5 to 91,2225.41,5125.61,6925.7+470
10 to 141,3906.11,4345.31,7015.7+311
15 to 191,4506.41,9367.12,0096.8+558
20 to 241,8848.32,88810.72,9169.8+1,032
25 to 291,8428.12,1257.82,2607.6+418
30 to 341,5186.71,7006.31,7275.8+209
35 to 391,4666.51,8556.81,8506.2+384
40 to 441,3866.11,8166.71,9606.6+574
45 to 491,4566.41,6136.01,9386.5+483
50 to 541,6697.41,5075.61,7545.9+85
55 to 591,3676.01,5345.71,4574.9+90
60 to 641,1815.21,2604.61,2674.3+86
65 to 699984.41,0934.01,2534.2+255
70 to 749504.29803.61,1834.0+233
75 to 796442.89263.41,1413.8+496
80 to 845072.26092.29643.2+457
85 and over6582.98643.21,1353.8+477
Total persons22,657100.027,094100.029,686100.0+7,028
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), May 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Malvern East was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 8.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24, which is expected to increase by 1,004 and account for 10.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 2,888 persons.

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