South West GroupPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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South West Group

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in South West Group is 20-24 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across South West Group depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Significant gain of families with young children (0-9 years), attracted to relatively affordable home owning opportunities in the outer south in particular
  • Significant gain of young adults, particularly in the Cities of Fremantle and Cockburn, attracted to lifestyle, employment and education facilities
  • Gain of families with older children (10-18 years), particularly in more established parts of the SW Group
  • Modest loss of older persons (65 years and over).
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 58 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -305 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -208 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -211 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -273 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 73 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 347 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 262 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 1,328 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 2,463 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 3,024 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 3,892 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 4,930 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 5,853 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 3,730 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 1,441 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 1,252 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 2,345 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: -2 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -142 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 49 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -94 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -27 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 438 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 646 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 901 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 2,031 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 4,541 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 4,860 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 4,624 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 5,950 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 6,704 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 5,109 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 2,706 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 3,327 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 4,272 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 58 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -305 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -208 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -211 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -273 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 73 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 347 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 262 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 1,328 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 2,463 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 3,024 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 3,892 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 4,930 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 5,853 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 3,730 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 1,441 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 1,252 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 2,345 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: -2 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -142 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 49 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -94 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -27 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 438 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 646 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 901 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 2,031 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 4,541 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 4,860 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 4,624 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 5,950 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 6,704 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 5,109 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 2,706 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 3,327 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 4,272
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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