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South Gippsland ShirePopulation forecast

South West Coastal District

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in South West Coastal District is forecast to grow from 2,736 in 2016 to 3,094 in 2036, with the average household size falling from 2.29 to 2.18 by 2036.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in South West Coastal District. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
South West Coastal DistrictForecast year
Summary20162021202620312036
Population2,8272,8782,9373,0093,078
Change in population (5yrs)--51597269
Average annual change--0.36%0.41%0.49%0.46%
Households1,2341,2861,3301,3701,410
Average household size2.292.242.212.202.18
Population in non private dwellings00000
Dwellings2,7362,8422,9323,0143,094
Dwelling occupancy rate45.1045.2545.3645.4545.57
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of South West Coastal District was estimated to be 2,827 people. It is expected to increase by over 182 people to 3,009 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 0.63%. This is based on an increase of over 136 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.29 to 2.20 by 2026.

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