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South Gippsland ShirePopulation forecast

South Gippsland Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2030, the age structure forecasts for South Gippsland Shire indicate a 5.5% increase in males under working age, a 14.8% increase in males of retirement age, and a 8.1% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of South Gippsland Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
South Gippsland Shire - Total males202120302036Change between 2021 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 47645.18945.49695.5+204
5 to 99646.49846.01,0686.1+103
10 to 141,0006.61,0006.11,0806.1+80
15 to 198405.69315.69415.3+101
20 to 246344.27194.37574.3+123
25 to 295823.96994.27654.3+183
30 to 347194.88014.88654.9+146
35 to 397484.98705.39555.4+208
40 to 447545.09265.69935.6+239
45 to 498865.99445.71,0506.0+164
50 to 549946.69615.81,0536.0+59
55 to 591,1327.51,1056.71,1046.3-28
60 to 641,1887.91,2077.31,2457.1+57
65 to 691,2228.11,3097.91,3047.4+81
70 to 741,1207.41,1717.11,2457.1+126
75 to 797434.99405.71,0025.7+260
80 to 844643.16523.97264.1+263
85 and over3562.44102.54852.8+129
Total persons15,109100.016,523100.017,606100.0+2,497
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), April 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in South Gippsland Shire was ages 65 to 69, which accounted for 8.1% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2030 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 197 and account for 5.7% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2030 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 1,309 males.

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