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South Gippsland ShirePopulation forecast

South Gippsland Shire

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in South Gippsland Shire is forecast to grow from 16,057 in 2016 to 19,995 in 2036, with the average household size falling from 2.35 to 2.29 by 2036.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in South Gippsland Shire. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
South Gippsland ShireForecast year
Summary20162021202620312036
Population28,93430,43632,11634,02335,982
Change in population (5yrs)--1,5021,6801,9081,959
Average annual change--1.02%1.08%1.16%1.13%
Households12,18212,92713,77014,63115,518
Average household size2.352.332.312.292.29
Population in non private dwellings341361361471471
Dwellings16,05716,96217,95118,95919,995
Dwelling occupancy rate75.8776.2176.7177.1777.61
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of South Gippsland Shire was estimated to be 28,934 people. It is expected to increase by over 5,089 people to 34,023 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 1.63%. This is based on an increase of over 2,449 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.35 to 2.29 by 2026.

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