Shoalhaven City CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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West Nowra - South Nowra - Nowra Hill & Surrounds

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in West Nowra - South Nowra - Nowra Hill & Surrounds will increase by an average of 87 dwellings per annum to 3,955 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Shoalhaven City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:

  • Twin Waters - 124 dwellings (2017-2021)
  • Green Orchid Gardens - 178 dwellings (2017-2023)
  • 57 Hillcrest Avenue - 10 dwellings (2018)
  • 171 Old Southern Road - 15 dwellings (2019)
  • 60 Hillcrest Avenue - 12 dwellings (2020-2021)
  • Elian Crescent Subdivision - 16 dwellings (2020-2023)
  • Mundamia Urban Release Area - 510 dwellings (2021-2034)
  • 71 Yalwal Road - 25 dwellings (2022)
  • 82 Hillcrest Avenue - 10 dwellings (2022)
  • 95 Albatross Road - 22 dwellings (2023-2024)
  • Cabbage Tree Lane Urban Release Area - 960 dwellings (2025-2041)
  • Low-moderate level of infill (8-18 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 3,955 2040 Total dwellings: 3,847 2039 Total dwellings: 3,739 2038 Total dwellings: 3,631 2037 Total dwellings: 3,538 2036 Total dwellings: 3,445 2035 Total dwellings: 3,357 2034 Total dwellings: 3,259 2033 Total dwellings: 3,156 2032 Total dwellings: 3,051 2031 Total dwellings: 2,954 2030 Total dwellings: 2,859 2029 Total dwellings: 2,764 2028 Total dwellings: 2,671 2027 Total dwellings: 2,588 2026 Total dwellings: 2,505 2025 Total dwellings: 2,437 2024 Total dwellings: 2,374 2023 Total dwellings: 2,305 2022 Total dwellings: 2,240 2021 Total dwellings: 2,168 2020 Total dwellings: 2,107 2019 Total dwellings: 2,043 2018 Total dwellings: 1,955 2017 Total dwellings: 1,868 2041 Total dwellings: 3,955 2040 Total dwellings: 3,847 2039 Total dwellings: 3,739 2038 Total dwellings: 3,631 2037 Total dwellings: 3,538 2036 Total dwellings: 3,445 2035 Total dwellings: 3,357 2034 Total dwellings: 3,259 2033 Total dwellings: 3,156 2032 Total dwellings: 3,051 2031 Total dwellings: 2,954 2030 Total dwellings: 2,859 2029 Total dwellings: 2,764 2028 Total dwellings: 2,671 2027 Total dwellings: 2,588 2026 Total dwellings: 2,505 2025 Total dwellings: 2,437 2024 Total dwellings: 2,374 2023 Total dwellings: 2,305 2022 Total dwellings: 2,240 2021 Total dwellings: 2,168 2020 Total dwellings: 2,107 2019 Total dwellings: 2,043 2018 Total dwellings: 1,955 2017 Total dwellings: 1,868 2041 Forecast development: 108 2040 Forecast development: 108 2039 Forecast development: 108 2038 Forecast development: 93 2037 Forecast development: 93 2036 Forecast development: 88 2035 Forecast development: 98 2034 Forecast development: 103 2033 Forecast development: 105 2032 Forecast development: 97 2031 Forecast development: 95 2030 Forecast development: 95 2029 Forecast development: 93 2028 Forecast development: 83 2027 Forecast development: 83 2026 Forecast development: 68 2025 Forecast development: 63 2024 Forecast development: 69 2023 Forecast development: 65 2022 Forecast development: 72 2021 Forecast development: 61 2020 Forecast development: 64 2019 Forecast development: 88 2018 Forecast development: 87 2017 Forecast development: 92
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2018.
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