Shoalhaven City CouncilPopulation forecast
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St Georges Basin - Basin View

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in St Georges Basin - Basin View will increase by an average of 36 dwellings per annum to 3,110 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Shoalhaven City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:

  • Basin Shores - 29 dwellings (2017-2020)
  • Aveo Island Point Retirement Village - 89 dwellings (2017-2024)
  • St Georges Basin - Future Urban - 55 dwellings (2019-2023)
  • Basin View Future Urban - 150 dwellings (2023-2041)
  • St Georges Basin Island Point Road - Village Centre - 120 dwellings (2026-2032)
  • Nebraska Estate - 15 dwellings (2027-2041)
  • Proposed Mixed Use Development - 195 dwellings (2028-2041)
  • Low level of infill (10 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 3,110 2040 Total dwellings: 3,074 2039 Total dwellings: 3,038 2038 Total dwellings: 3,002 2037 Total dwellings: 2,966 2036 Total dwellings: 2,930 2035 Total dwellings: 2,894 2034 Total dwellings: 2,858 2033 Total dwellings: 2,822 2032 Total dwellings: 2,786 2031 Total dwellings: 2,740 2030 Total dwellings: 2,694 2029 Total dwellings: 2,658 2028 Total dwellings: 2,607 2027 Total dwellings: 2,556 2026 Total dwellings: 2,515 2025 Total dwellings: 2,485 2024 Total dwellings: 2,470 2023 Total dwellings: 2,453 2022 Total dwellings: 2,423 2021 Total dwellings: 2,388 2020 Total dwellings: 2,348 2019 Total dwellings: 2,307 2018 Total dwellings: 2,275 2017 Total dwellings: 2,237 2041 Total dwellings: 3,110 2040 Total dwellings: 3,074 2039 Total dwellings: 3,038 2038 Total dwellings: 3,002 2037 Total dwellings: 2,966 2036 Total dwellings: 2,930 2035 Total dwellings: 2,894 2034 Total dwellings: 2,858 2033 Total dwellings: 2,822 2032 Total dwellings: 2,786 2031 Total dwellings: 2,740 2030 Total dwellings: 2,694 2029 Total dwellings: 2,658 2028 Total dwellings: 2,607 2027 Total dwellings: 2,556 2026 Total dwellings: 2,515 2025 Total dwellings: 2,485 2024 Total dwellings: 2,470 2023 Total dwellings: 2,453 2022 Total dwellings: 2,423 2021 Total dwellings: 2,388 2020 Total dwellings: 2,348 2019 Total dwellings: 2,307 2018 Total dwellings: 2,275 2017 Total dwellings: 2,237 2041 Forecast development: 36 2040 Forecast development: 36 2039 Forecast development: 36 2038 Forecast development: 36 2037 Forecast development: 36 2036 Forecast development: 36 2035 Forecast development: 36 2034 Forecast development: 36 2033 Forecast development: 36 2032 Forecast development: 46 2031 Forecast development: 46 2030 Forecast development: 36 2029 Forecast development: 51 2028 Forecast development: 51 2027 Forecast development: 41 2026 Forecast development: 30 2025 Forecast development: 15 2024 Forecast development: 17 2023 Forecast development: 30 2022 Forecast development: 35 2021 Forecast development: 40 2020 Forecast development: 41 2019 Forecast development: 32 2018 Forecast development: 38 2017 Forecast development: 30
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2018.
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