Shoalhaven City CouncilPopulation forecast
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Nowra

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Nowra will increase by an average of 34 dwellings per annum to 5,188 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Shoalhaven City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:

  • Carrington Heights - 151 dwellings (2017-2025)
  • 24-28 Hawthorn Avenue - 32 dwellings (2018-2021)
  • Moresby Street Residential Land - 100 dwellings (2019-2026)
  • Central Park Nowra apartments - 32 dwellings (2021)
  • Dumaresq Retirement Village - 44 dwellings (2022-2030)
  • Kinghorne Street Apartments - 56 dwellings (2023-2024)
  • 204-208 Kinghorne Street - 89 dwellings (2023-2033)
  • Riverhaven Development - 46 dwellings (2025-2034)
  • Dryden Close villas/townhouses - 25 dwellings (2026-2038)
  • Low-moderate level of infill (10-12 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 5,188 2040 Total dwellings: 5,176 2039 Total dwellings: 5,164 2038 Total dwellings: 5,152 2037 Total dwellings: 5,139 2036 Total dwellings: 5,125 2035 Total dwellings: 5,111 2034 Total dwellings: 5,097 2033 Total dwellings: 5,082 2032 Total dwellings: 5,054 2031 Total dwellings: 5,025 2030 Total dwellings: 4,996 2029 Total dwellings: 4,963 2028 Total dwellings: 4,931 2027 Total dwellings: 4,899 2026 Total dwellings: 4,867 2025 Total dwellings: 4,835 2024 Total dwellings: 4,798 2023 Total dwellings: 4,731 2022 Total dwellings: 4,658 2021 Total dwellings: 4,603 2020 Total dwellings: 4,522 2019 Total dwellings: 4,470 2018 Total dwellings: 4,415 2017 Total dwellings: 4,373 2041 Total dwellings: 5,188 2040 Total dwellings: 5,176 2039 Total dwellings: 5,164 2038 Total dwellings: 5,152 2037 Total dwellings: 5,139 2036 Total dwellings: 5,125 2035 Total dwellings: 5,111 2034 Total dwellings: 5,097 2033 Total dwellings: 5,082 2032 Total dwellings: 5,054 2031 Total dwellings: 5,025 2030 Total dwellings: 4,996 2029 Total dwellings: 4,963 2028 Total dwellings: 4,931 2027 Total dwellings: 4,899 2026 Total dwellings: 4,867 2025 Total dwellings: 4,835 2024 Total dwellings: 4,798 2023 Total dwellings: 4,731 2022 Total dwellings: 4,658 2021 Total dwellings: 4,603 2020 Total dwellings: 4,522 2019 Total dwellings: 4,470 2018 Total dwellings: 4,415 2017 Total dwellings: 4,373 2041 Forecast development: 12 2040 Forecast development: 12 2039 Forecast development: 12 2038 Forecast development: 13 2037 Forecast development: 14 2036 Forecast development: 14 2035 Forecast development: 14 2034 Forecast development: 15 2033 Forecast development: 28 2032 Forecast development: 29 2031 Forecast development: 29 2030 Forecast development: 33 2029 Forecast development: 32 2028 Forecast development: 32 2027 Forecast development: 32 2026 Forecast development: 32 2025 Forecast development: 37 2024 Forecast development: 67 2023 Forecast development: 73 2022 Forecast development: 55 2021 Forecast development: 81 2020 Forecast development: 52 2019 Forecast development: 55 2018 Forecast development: 42 2017 Forecast development: 34
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2018.
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