Shoalhaven City CouncilPopulation forecast
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Culburra Beach - Orient Point

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Culburra Beach - Orient Point will increase by an average of 15 dwellings per annum to 2,891 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Shoalhaven City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2017 dwelling additions are based on building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. From 2016 onwards:

  • Park Row Future Urban - 64 dwellings (2022-2030)
  • Culburra Future Urban - 145 dwellings (2027-2038)
  • Low level of infill (5-6 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 2,891 2040 Total dwellings: 2,874 2039 Total dwellings: 2,857 2038 Total dwellings: 2,840 2037 Total dwellings: 2,823 2036 Total dwellings: 2,806 2035 Total dwellings: 2,789 2034 Total dwellings: 2,772 2033 Total dwellings: 2,755 2032 Total dwellings: 2,738 2031 Total dwellings: 2,721 2030 Total dwellings: 2,704 2029 Total dwellings: 2,684 2028 Total dwellings: 2,663 2027 Total dwellings: 2,640 2026 Total dwellings: 2,622 2025 Total dwellings: 2,605 2024 Total dwellings: 2,588 2023 Total dwellings: 2,571 2022 Total dwellings: 2,554 2021 Total dwellings: 2,543 2020 Total dwellings: 2,537 2019 Total dwellings: 2,531 2018 Total dwellings: 2,525 2017 Total dwellings: 2,519 2041 Total dwellings: 2,891 2040 Total dwellings: 2,874 2039 Total dwellings: 2,857 2038 Total dwellings: 2,840 2037 Total dwellings: 2,823 2036 Total dwellings: 2,806 2035 Total dwellings: 2,789 2034 Total dwellings: 2,772 2033 Total dwellings: 2,755 2032 Total dwellings: 2,738 2031 Total dwellings: 2,721 2030 Total dwellings: 2,704 2029 Total dwellings: 2,684 2028 Total dwellings: 2,663 2027 Total dwellings: 2,640 2026 Total dwellings: 2,622 2025 Total dwellings: 2,605 2024 Total dwellings: 2,588 2023 Total dwellings: 2,571 2022 Total dwellings: 2,554 2021 Total dwellings: 2,543 2020 Total dwellings: 2,537 2019 Total dwellings: 2,531 2018 Total dwellings: 2,525 2017 Total dwellings: 2,519 2041 Forecast development: 17 2040 Forecast development: 17 2039 Forecast development: 17 2038 Forecast development: 17 2037 Forecast development: 17 2036 Forecast development: 17 2035 Forecast development: 17 2034 Forecast development: 17 2033 Forecast development: 17 2032 Forecast development: 17 2031 Forecast development: 17 2030 Forecast development: 20 2029 Forecast development: 21 2028 Forecast development: 23 2027 Forecast development: 18 2026 Forecast development: 17 2025 Forecast development: 17 2024 Forecast development: 17 2023 Forecast development: 17 2022 Forecast development: 11 2021 Forecast development: 6 2020 Forecast development: 6 2019 Forecast development: 6 2018 Forecast development: 6 2017 Forecast development: 6
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2018.
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