Shoalhaven City CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Burrill Lake - Kings Point - Dolphin Point - Lake Tabourie

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Burrill Lake - Kings Point - Dolphin Point - Lake Tabourie will increase by an average of 20 dwellings per annum to 2,143 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Shoalhaven City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

Dwelling counts for 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Specific assumptions from 2017 onwards:

  • Future Urban - Dolphin Point - 160 dwellings (2017-2033)
  • Highview Drive - 143 dwellings (2017-2036)
  • Future Urban - Kings Point - 20 dwellings (2027-2036)
  • Low level of infill development (3-4 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 2,143 2035 Total dwellings: 2,134 2034 Total dwellings: 2,125 2033 Total dwellings: 2,112 2032 Total dwellings: 2,095 2031 Total dwellings: 2,074 2030 Total dwellings: 2,051 2029 Total dwellings: 2,028 2028 Total dwellings: 2,005 2027 Total dwellings: 1,982 2026 Total dwellings: 1,959 2025 Total dwellings: 1,937 2024 Total dwellings: 1,915 2023 Total dwellings: 1,893 2022 Total dwellings: 1,871 2021 Total dwellings: 1,849 2020 Total dwellings: 1,827 2019 Total dwellings: 1,805 2018 Total dwellings: 1,783 2017 Total dwellings: 1,761 2036 Total dwellings: 2,143 2035 Total dwellings: 2,134 2034 Total dwellings: 2,125 2033 Total dwellings: 2,112 2032 Total dwellings: 2,095 2031 Total dwellings: 2,074 2030 Total dwellings: 2,051 2029 Total dwellings: 2,028 2028 Total dwellings: 2,005 2027 Total dwellings: 1,982 2026 Total dwellings: 1,959 2025 Total dwellings: 1,937 2024 Total dwellings: 1,915 2023 Total dwellings: 1,893 2022 Total dwellings: 1,871 2021 Total dwellings: 1,849 2020 Total dwellings: 1,827 2019 Total dwellings: 1,805 2018 Total dwellings: 1,783 2017 Total dwellings: 1,761 2036 Forecast development: 9 2035 Forecast development: 9 2034 Forecast development: 13 2033 Forecast development: 17 2032 Forecast development: 21 2031 Forecast development: 23 2030 Forecast development: 23 2029 Forecast development: 23 2028 Forecast development: 23 2027 Forecast development: 23 2026 Forecast development: 22 2025 Forecast development: 22 2024 Forecast development: 22 2023 Forecast development: 22 2022 Forecast development: 22 2021 Forecast development: 22 2020 Forecast development: 22 2019 Forecast development: 22 2018 Forecast development: 22 2017 Forecast development: 17
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
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