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Shoalhaven City CouncilPopulation forecast

Shoalhaven City Council

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Shoalhaven City Council will increase by an average of 497 dwellings per annum to 72,056 in 2051.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Shoalhaven City Council. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2051
Shoalhaven City CouncilChange in dwellings between 2016 and 2051
Shoalhaven City+17,403+31.8
Bangalee - Cambewarra Village - Tapitallee & Surrounds+2,513+223.1
Berry & Surrounds+591+27.4
Burrill Lake - Kings Point - Dolphin Point+568+43.1
Callala Bay - Callala Beach - Currarong - Myola & Surrounds+682+23.2
Coastal Mid+715+33.8
Coastal South+212+11.4
Culburra Beach - Orient Point+339+13.5
Greenwell Point - Terara & Surrounds+38+3.7
Huskisson - Falls Creek - Tomerong - Woollamia+524+28.8
Milton - Mollymook - Mollymook Beach - Narrawallee & Surrounds+1,007+24.5
North Nowra+575+23.6
Rural Balance+222+15.2
Sanctuary Point+446+10.6
Shoalhaven Heads+146+8.5
St Georges Basin - Basin View+588+26.6
Sussex Inlet - Swanhaven - Berrara - Cudmirrah & Surrounds+1,040+32.9
Vincentia - Erowal Bay & Surrounds+873+22.2
West Nowra - South Nowra - Nowra Hill & Surrounds+3,617+203.6
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2021.

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